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Audacity of Truth
Gaffetastic:
Vice President Joe Biden had his “oops” moment Wednesday speaking in a 49er-crazed SF when he told a crowd at a city political fundraiser that “the Giants are on their way to the Super Bowl.” - SF Chronicle, 1-18-12
The NYT/CBS poll on the President and Congress
The poll contains some bleak news for the GOP – but you won’t know until you click on the breakdown link for number of respondents how this poll oversampled Democrats heavily. Ankle Biting Pundits explains.
I post this not to suggest that the GOP isn’t in trouble this election year (I think we can figure that out without any poll), but to point out how our beloved MSM isn’t always upfront with you in their main summary articles about just who they polled – which obviously affects the final results.
More: Make sure to read the NYT’s write up of the poll, too – it mentions some things the CBS article left out in its summary. The NYT, surprisingly, summarized the poll better than CBS did, although neither noted in their main pieces that they oversampled Democrats.
Also blogging about this: Stop The ACLU, Brent Baker at Newsbusters, Flopping Aces, GOP Bloggers, Blue Crab Boulevard
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Stats
Most pollsters, including I’m sure the ones CBS/NYT use, correct the actual sample with national weightings. The odds of getting the exact national breakdown of political affiliation and age grouping in the sample is very small, but the correction by weighting the sample is easy and standard practice.
- A sure sign your side is in trouble is when you have to turn to “polls”. Maybe at some point, when the Democrats finally win some election or other, they’ll be able to say; “See…. we knew it would work eventually.”
- Bang
Andrew,
They do re-weight… but often in the other direction. I remember a poll last year that started out weighed toward Dems by 7 points… and it was re-weighed to have MORE Dems, giving them an 11-point edge!
So somehow, despite the GOP having the most elected national offices in my lifetime, we still supposedly have 10-15% more Dems according to these “objective” pollsters.
I won’t be surprised if the Republicans screw things up so badly that the Dhimmicrats regain control of the White House in 2008, or even one house of Congress this year.
I won’t worry too much, either. The Dems will, as they keep doing, mistake frustration with Republican inaction and surrender to the Left, as some sort of blanket acceptance of Dem plans – which they never articulate, thus we never know what the plan says – which it won’t be. And in a few years the Dumbs will be tossed again as the electorate find new faces in the Republican party, as yet unbent to the demands of the ‘moderate’, do-nothing Repubs in office.
Arlen Specter remains the poster boy for Republican Surrender Monkeys. I’d rather he lose to a conservative Dem, than be re-elected again! I grew up in SE Pennsylvania. He was crud then, and he’s never improved.
Let the Republicans lose, They haven’t earned the right to be re-elected!
And don’t worry! The Dumbs will miscast the election as a vote of confidence in them.
We’ll survive it.
Arlen Specter, it is nice to finally have a republican that I can dislike. I was starting to think I was a republican, as all the politicians I didn’t like were democrats.
FYI: I am an independent. Therefore I can formulate my own opinions on any subject I see fit. I do believe voting republican is typically the way to go.
- An interesting aspect to the whole “gang of 14″/Confirmation derby” came out of manueverings concerning the upcoming Terrence Boyle, and General Hayden hearings.
- As joined at the hip as PEW and the DNC is, and rabidly wedded to polls as the left is, I just have to believe that Congressional DummyCrabs have thier aides pouring over Conservative blogs every day to get a feel for ideas.
- You see someone post about Rove gleefully wringing his hands anticipating another round of Schumer/Kennedy/Pelosi/Reid stepping in the “soft on terror” doodoo pile with the Hayden hearings and the next day Schumer is all subdued tones, and conciliatory reasonableness, stating he doesn’t care about Haydens Military background and will support him if he can be assured Hayden with keep “independence” within the agency.
- We’ll see if they can bridal their enthusiasm when they’re in front of the camera’s with lots of TV face time. Partisan fervor generally gets the better of common sense, but stranger things have happened.
- Aside from that, it would appear that one of the Republican push-back plan items is to put up to 20 other nominees forth for various gov. slots, one spokesman saying the administration hopes these series of hearing’s will last right through the fall Comgressional elections. Obviously they want to give the Dembulbs maximum rope to hang themselves in front of the voting public.